UT Rio Grande Valley
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
Model Outputs
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 819 (#266) | Preseason prior 811 (returning production + recruiting): last season 980, returning -62, transfers -70, freshmen -37 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 893 (#290) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 896 (#289) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -5.7 (#226) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -5.6 (#223) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.353 (#205) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.401 (#216) | AdjNet -2.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.406 (#205) | AdjNet -1.4 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.346 (#293) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 70.7 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.347 (#292) | AdjO 64.1 | AdjD 70.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.356 (#249) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.356 (#249) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 902 (#249) | RD 195 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.349 (#254) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Texas A&M-Kingsville Javelinas | W | 81 - 51 |
| 2026-11-07 | vs | Prairie View A&M Panthers | W | 68 - 63 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Texas State Bobcats | L | 65 - 72 |
| 2026-11-14 | @ | UT Arlington Mavericks | L | 77 - 85 |
| 2026-11-18 | vs | College of Biblical Studies Ambassadors | - | Preview |
| 2026-11-21 | @ | Austin Peay Governors | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions and box-score rates; an unlisted position is inferred from those rates, and missing rates are treated as zero. Legend numbers are each player's share of recorded roster minutes, scaled to five players' regulation minutes; they can differ from minutes per game in the roster below, especially when players miss games or coverage is incomplete. Each position column totals one regulation game's minutes. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Jace Posey
|
G | 4 | 31.2 | 19.0 | 8.0 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 12.0 | 17.5 | -12 | 1 | -12.0 | -13.7 | 52.1 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.28 | 58.3 | 52.1 |
B.B. Knight
|
G | 4 | 27.2 | 9.5 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 8.5 | 4.2 | -6 | 1 | -6.0 | -7.4 | 32.4 | 24.0 | 66.7 | -0.79 | 46.8 | 41.2 |
Caden Bell
|
G | 4 | 19.8 | 9.0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 1.5 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 9.2 | 4.0 | 7 | 1 | 7.0 | 13.5 | 32.4 | 26.3 | 50.0 | 0.52 | 41.7 | 39.2 |
Devon Pryor
|
G | 4 | 27.5 | 6.2 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 8.8 | 5.8 | -9 | 1 | -9.0 | -13.1 | 22.9 | 9.1 | 88.9 | -0.64 | 32.1 | 24.3 |
T'Johnn Brown
|
G | 4 | 12.2 | 5.5 | 1.0 | 1.8 | 2.0 | 0.2 | 2.0 | 4.2 | 4.2 | 2 | 1 | 2.0 | 21.5 | 35.3 | 33.3 | 75.0 | 0.12 | 49.4 | 38.2 |
Bobby Crawford Jr.
|
F | 4 | 20.8 | 5.5 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 9.2 | -12 | 1 | -12.0 | -19.7 | 90.9 | 0 | 100.0 | -0.3 | 92.6 | 90.9 |
Always Wright
|
G | 4 | 15.0 | 5.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.8 | 2.8 | 4.5 | -13 | 1 | -13.0 | -26.9 | 63.6 | 85.7 | 0 | -0.53 | 90.9 | 90.9 |
Josiah Hill
|
F | 2 | 9.5 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 6.5 | - | - | - | - | 75.0 | 0 | 50.0 | - | 66.5 | 75.0 |
Chris Uwayo
|
G | 4 | 14.2 | 4.5 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 4.0 | 4.2 | -3 | 1 | -3.0 | -50.3 | 50.0 | 20.0 | 50.0 | -0.4 | 53.3 | 53.1 |
Terrell Wright
|
F | 4 | 18.0 | 4.0 | 4.5 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | 7.8 | 7 | 1 | 7.0 | 11.5 | 58.3 | 0 | 22.2 | 0.53 | 50.1 | 58.3 |
Kaleb Corbitt
|
F | 1 | 5.0 | 3.0 | 3.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 5.0 | - | - | - | - | 100.0 | 100.0 | 0 | - | 150.0 | 150.0 |
Darius Carr
|
G | 3 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 4 | 1 | 4.0 | 15.2 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.17 | 31.6 | 20.0 |
Jaeson Blair
|
G | 1 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | - | 26.6 | 0.0 |
Luis Ramirez
|
G | 1 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | -2.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Ian Parham Jr.
|
G | 1 | 4.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
234 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Jace PoseyCaden BellB.B. KnightAlways WrightDevon PryorT'Johnn Brown
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 41-58 | 70.7 | 82 | Jace Posey 32% (26 pts) | Devon Pryor 15% (12 pts) | Jace Posey 41% (7 misses) | Terrell Wright 18% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 35-77 | 45.5 | 70 | Jace Posey 31% (22 pts) | Bobby Crawford Jr. 17% (12 pts) | Jace Posey 24% (10 misses) | T'Johnn Brown 21% (9 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-10 | 10.0 | 2 | B.B. Knight 100% (2 pts) | - | Devon Pryor 44% (4 misses) | Jace Posey 22% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 1-2 | 50.0 | 2 | Jace Posey 100% (2 pts) | - | Caden Bell 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 0-8 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Devon Pryor 50% (4 misses) | Caden Bell 38% (3 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 6-12 | 50.0 | 18 | Always Wright 50% (9 pts) | B.B. Knight 33% (6 pts) | Devon Pryor 50% (3 misses) | Always Wright 17% (1 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 2-11 | 18.2 | 6 | B.B. Knight 50% (3 pts) | Devon Pryor 50% (3 pts) | Devon Pryor 33% (3 misses) | B.B. Knight 22% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 9-30 | 30.0 | 27 | Always Wright 33% (9 pts) | B.B. Knight 22% (6 pts) | B.B. Knight 48% (10 misses) | Caden Bell 19% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 1-5 | 20.0 | 3 | T'Johnn Brown 100% (3 pts) | - | B.B. Knight 50% (2 misses) | Caden Bell 50% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 3-21 | 14.3 | 9 | Caden Bell 67% (6 pts) | B.B. Knight 33% (3 pts) | Caden Bell 39% (7 misses) | B.B. Knight 22% (4 misses) |