Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | SIU Edwardsville Cougars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 24.1% | 75.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 27.3% | 72.7% | +5.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 41.4% | 58.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.3% | 64.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.9% | 61.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SIU Edwardsville Cougars +13 (82-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gorosito | 35 | 6-12 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 10 | -12.3 |
| F. Hill | 32 | 2-15 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -6 | - |
| M. Pearson Jr. | 27 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | -18.5 |
| B. Hendriks | 22 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 12 | -1.7 |
| P. Sparks | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 7 | -2.8 |
| J. Hart | 18 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +8.4 |
| M. Jones | 16 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 10 | -5.7 |
| E. Brittain-Watts | 14 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | -6.8 |
| T. Burch | 12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | -8.8 |
| J. Hernandez | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -0.9 |
| Z. Doughty | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SIU Edwardsville Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Taylor II | 37 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +11.6 |
| R. Malith | 36 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 9-10 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 20 | +12.3 |
| D. Polk | 33 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | +21.2 |
| R. Taylor | 31 | 9-22 | 7-15 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 11 | +12.2 |
| A. Sakenis | 26 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 20 | +15.6 |
| M. Thompson | 13 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | -15.1 |
| D. Baker | 11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.2 |
| D. Dillon | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +13.7 |
| J. Pickett | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -3.2 |
* = starter