Model Predictions
| Model | Montana Grizzlies | Idaho Vandals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.9% | 22.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 76.5% | 23.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 64.8% | 35.2% | -3.3 | ✓ (1.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 75.9% | 24.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Idaho Vandals -2 (71-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Moore | 39 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 12 | -2.5 |
| J. Pridgen | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 15 | -0.4 |
| K. Johnson | 29 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | -0.9 |
| A. Patterson | 28 | 4-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -2.8 |
| M. Williams | 26 | 7-15 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 10 | +5.2 |
| T. Sawyer | 24 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | +3.7 |
| B. Whitney | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -11.4 |
| J. Foy | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Bradtke | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.7 |
Idaho Vandals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Mitchell | 38 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +2.2 |
| T. Mrus | 34 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | +3.0 |
| J. Payne | 33 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 3-3 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 13 | +4.4 |
| K. Gonzalez | 28 | 8-16 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | +2.1 |
| J. Mims | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9 | +4.3 |
| T. Hardy | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +4.6 |
| T. Linhardt | 14 | 5-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 1 | -3.9 |
| M. Klapper | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | -0.7 |
| I. Brickner | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
* = starter