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2025-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Idaho Vandals Spread Result
Elo 58.8% 41.2% -
Bradley-Terry 52.0% 48.0% -
Margin 60.6% 39.4% -2.4 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 57.0% 43.0% -
Efficiency 57.0% 43.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 70.6% 29.4% -
Log Adjusted 70.6% 29.4% -
Points Off/Def 54.6% 45.4% -

Actual: Idaho Vandals +5 (69-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Agbonkpolo 33 3-12 2-5 0-0 9 2 0 2 1 8 8 -5.4
J. Mullins 31 3-8 1-3 2-2 3 3 1 1 2 9 7 -7.4
P. McMahon 27 6-11 0-4 3-4 5 0 0 0 0 15 9 -4.3
J. Miller 24 0-6 0-5 2-2 6 0 1 1 2 2 2 +0.9
T. Patterson 24 4-7 2-5 0-0 0 0 3 0 0 10 6 -7.0
B. Goracke 21 5-9 1-4 3-3 5 1 2 0 0 14 13 -4.1
C. Nduka 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 0 1 +1.0
B. Walker 17 1-4 0-1 3-10 4 1 0 1 3 5 4 -5.2
BJ Kolly 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 +5.0

Idaho Vandals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mrus 35 3-7 2-6 6-6 7 1 0 0 2 14 13 +5.3
K. Mitchell 32 2-12 0-2 0-0 1 6 2 0 1 4 0 +10.1
K. Gonzalez 32 4-9 3-5 2-2 4 1 2 0 1 13 10 +1.2
J. Payne 25 3-7 0-4 1-2 7 3 1 0 2 7 9 +9.3
J. Mims 21 4-4 0-0 3-4 9 1 1 0 1 11 17 +9.2
T. Linhardt 18 4-6 2-3 4-8 3 0 0 0 1 14 10 +0.1
T. Hardy 14 1-6 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 3 2 -1 -3.0
J. Anderson 13 0-3 0-0 2-4 1 0 0 0 0 2 0 -10.0
I. Brickner 5 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 +0.0
E. Steele 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +4.0

* = starter