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2025-01-31

Model Predictions

Model William & Mary Tribe Elon Phoenix Spread Result
ELO 59.4% 40.6% -
Bradley-Terry 47.2% 52.8% -
Margin 38.5% 61.5% +2.6 (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% -
Efficiency 44.8% 55.2% -
KenPom Style 46.4% 53.6% -
Log Adjusted 46.6% 53.4% -
Points Off/Def 43.2% 56.8% -

Actual: Elon Phoenix -5 (59-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

William & Mary Tribe

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
B. Nascimento 38 8-19 -5 2-4 5 4 4 2 18 14
C. Geddes 36 11-19 1-5 2-5 7 5 5 25 13
K. Rolph 33 3-7 1-2 - 5 1 7 6
A. Cauley 29 3-10 - 1-2 4 7 5 1 2 7 12
R. Frisby-Smith 29 - - 1-2 4 2 1 1 8
J. Sallman 17 3-7 - - 5 1 1 2 2 6 6
M. Dance 13 -4 - - 1 1 1 -3
A. Mikeska 3 - - - 2 1 1
S. LeGoullon 2 -1 -1 - -1

Elon Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers
R. Preston 33 6-15 -3 - 19 3 2 3 12 18
I. Adams 32 5-7 - - 6 2 1 2 10 10
R. Willard 29 1-4 -1 - 3 3 1 2 3
J. Angel 27 5-18 1-6 3-4 6 2 2 7 14 -1
L. Anderson 19 2-11 1-5 - 1 2 1 5 -4
A. Shaw 16 2-5 2-4 1-4 7 2 1 2 7 10
M. Pass 16 -5 -3 - 2 3 -6
A. Leroux 10 1-1 - - 2 1 2 4
K. Doty 8 1-1 1-1 1-2 1 1 1 4 4
A. Ervin 7 -3 -1 - 2 1 1 -1
R. Walton 3 1-1 1-1 - 3 2

* = starter