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2024-12-02

Model Predictions

Model Jackson State Tigers Saint Louis Billikens Spread Result
Elo 34.0% 66.0% -
Bradley-Terry 18.3% 81.7% -
Margin 8.4% 91.6% +13.2 (5.2 off)
Pythagorean 38.2% 61.8% -
Efficiency 36.5% 63.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 5.2% 94.8% -
Log Adjusted 4.9% 95.1% -
Points Off/Def 20.5% 79.5% -

Actual: Saint Louis Billikens +8 (74-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Jackson State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Mansel * 31 4-11 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 3 0 8 6 -9.8
D. McMillian * 30 3-9 1-4 1-2 2 1 2 1 4 8 1 -4.4
S. Grant * 29 5-7 0-0 2-2 7 2 0 0 2 12 12 -8.0
D. Ruffin * 27 4-19 2-7 0-0 3 2 4 0 1 10 -1 +0.0
K. Hunt * 15 2-3 2-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 6 5 +2.9
J. Mitchell 26 5-7 3-5 1-1 3 1 1 1 0 14 13 -10.4
J. Reyna III 18 2-7 2-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 6 2 +0.8
M. Watson Jr. 16 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 2 2 +4.8
T. Hoover 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -5.7

Saint Louis Billikens

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Avila * 38 5-11 4-8 1-4 8 7 1 0 5 15 15 +5.8
G. Jimerson * 38 8-16 3-8 2-2 3 0 0 0 2 21 6 +11.2
I. Swope * 36 6-12 3-8 3-6 5 7 1 0 2 18 17 +6.7
K. Anya * 32 3-5 0-0 1-4 11 1 1 1 1 7 15 +9.4
A. McCottry * 18 2-2 0-0 1-5 6 2 0 1 0 5 12 -2.0
K. Thames 15 2-5 0-1 0-1 3 0 3 0 1 4 4 +0.6
L. Hughes Jr. 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 3 -1.2
Ko. Johnson 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 3 2 2 -0.2

* = starter