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2024-12-01

Model Predictions

Model UNC Asheville Bulldogs Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 42.9% 57.1% -
Bradley-Terry 60.4% 39.6% -
Margin 49.3% 50.7% +0.2 (18.2 off)
Pythagorean 44.5% 55.5% -
Efficiency 44.5% 55.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 57.5% 42.5% -
Log Adjusted 57.5% 42.5% -
Points Off/Def 48.2% 51.8% -

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers -18 (74-92). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Banks * 32 5-7 3-4 4-4 5 1 0 1 2 17 15 +18.3
T. Solomon * 31 8-14 0-1 2-3 3 0 1 2 0 18 10 +20.6
J. Marsh * 30 9-18 1-4 4-4 5 5 2 0 3 23 14 +17.5
F. Abee * 30 6-10 3-5 0-0 4 1 0 1 1 15 10 +10.5
J. Davis * 23 2-8 0-1 3-4 3 0 6 1 4 7 5 +8.7
G. Gantt Jr. 26 3-4 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 1 0 6 14 +2.9
K. Taylor 18 2-5 0-2 2-2 7 1 0 1 1 6 9 +7.9
J. Clarke 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 1 -0.0
C. Dubsky 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.0
C. Jones 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ca. Williams * 31 7-12 1-3 0-0 6 0 0 0 3 15 6 -15.3
J. Jackson * 30 3-11 1-6 0-1 1 3 1 1 3 7 -1 -12.4
B. Weston * 29 2-11 0-2 4-4 5 1 2 0 2 8 3 -23.9
A. Nkrumah * 22 2-7 0-2 2-2 1 3 0 1 4 6 0 -7.7
J. Ogundele * 7 0-0 0-0 2-4 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -6.0
A. Lorick III 29 9-12 0-0 1-2 10 0 2 0 0 19 19 -9.4
K. Wood 25 1-5 1-3 2-2 2 4 0 0 1 5 5 -5.5
A. Langlais 20 6-7 0-0 0-4 6 0 0 0 1 12 10 -8.8
R. Jessamy 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Brooks 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +1.1
B. Fleming 1 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +1.0
M. Bodenhamer 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.0
L. Daoust 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter