Tennessee State
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
98.0
PPG
77.8
Opp
+20.2
Margin
45.6%
FG%
25.7%
3P%
75.7%
FT%
45.0
RPG
20.0
APG
14.0
TO
84.8
Est. poss./game
71.4
Adj PPG
78.1
Adj Opp PPG
#231
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 905 (#190) | Preseason prior 945 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1035, returning -74, transfers +3, freshmen -20 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 957 (#196) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 958 (#196) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | -4.2 (#204) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | -4.1 (#203) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.272 (#251) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.442 (#186) | AdjNet -4.5 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.438 (#187) | AdjNet -5.0 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.408 (#231) | AdjO 71.4 | AdjD 78.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.411 (#228) | AdjO 71.6 | AdjD 78.1 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.410 (#207) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.410 (#207) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 942 (#202) | RD 205 | GP 2 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.456 (#167) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Murray State Racers | L | 64 - 94 |
| 2026-11-05 | vs | East West Phantoms | W | 127 - 61 |
| 2026-11-09 | vs | Fisk Bulldogs | W | 123 - 73 |
| 2026-11-13 | @ | Tennessee Volunteers | L | 78 - 83 |
| 2026-11-17 | @ | South Florida Bulls | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Ty-Laur Johnson
|
G | 4 | 25.8 | 14.2 | 3.8 | 6.5 | 2.5 | 0.5 | 3.0 | 9.2 | 15.2 | 24 | 3 | 8.0 | 11.0 | 45.9 | 26.7 | 90.5 | 0.61 | 61.6 | 51.4 |
Aaron Bradshaw
|
F | 4 | 22.2 | 12.0 | 6.8 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 2.0 | 11.0 | 10.0 | 38 | 3 | 12.7 | 23.0 | 45.5 | 23.1 | 62.5 | 2.94 | 50.5 | 48.9 |
Arterio Morris
|
G | 4 | 23.2 | 11.0 | 3.0 | 4.8 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 2.8 | 11.0 | 9.2 | 26 | 3 | 8.7 | 14.5 | 34.1 | 21.1 | 76.9 | 0.99 | 44.2 | 38.6 |
Jayden Jones
|
G | 4 | 21.2 | 10.8 | 5.8 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 7.8 | 9.2 | -10 | 3 | -3.3 | -6.2 | 58.1 | 33.3 | 66.7 | -0.32 | 61.5 | 59.7 |
Deondrea Lindsey
|
F | 4 | 25.5 | 10.2 | 4.0 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 8.0 | 7.0 | -2 | 3 | -0.7 | -1.0 | 46.9 | 11.1 | 100.0 | 0.19 | 56.3 | 48.4 |
Christian Alston
|
G | 4 | 19.5 | 9.5 | 3.8 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 8.5 | 8.0 | 22 | 3 | 7.3 | 14.3 | 38.2 | 9.1 | 61.1 | 0.11 | 45.3 | 39.7 |
Ajayi Simmons
|
G | 4 | 12.0 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 0.2 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 3.2 | 10.8 | -9 | 3 | -3.0 | -12.3 | 76.9 | 80.0 | 72.7 | -0.6 | 89.7 | 92.3 |
Kavien Jones
|
F | 4 | 16.2 | 7.0 | 4.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 4.8 | 7.0 | -20 | 3 | -6.7 | -16.4 | 63.2 | 40.0 | 50.0 | -0.24 | 67.4 | 68.4 |
Daniel Vieira-Tuck
|
G | 4 | 7.8 | 5.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.8 | 3.2 | 4.5 | -11 | 3 | -3.7 | -34.7 | 61.5 | 33.3 | 83.3 | -0.54 | 70.3 | 65.4 |
Maddux Bodenhamer
|
G | 4 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.2 | 2.8 | 4.8 | -22 | 3 | -7.3 | -57.3 | 45.5 | 66.7 | 80.0 | -1.29 | 60.6 | 54.5 |
Presley Patterson
|
G | 4 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | -25 | 3 | -8.3 | -43.0 | 26.3 | 29.4 | 50.0 | -1.65 | 40.2 | 39.5 |
Garrett Shelton
|
G | 2 | 4.0 | 1.5 | 0.5 | 1.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 2.5 | - | - | - | - | 50.0 | 50.0 | 0 | - | 75.0 | 75.0 |
Isaiah Stewart
|
G | 3 | 7.3 | 1.3 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 3.3 | 0.0 | -1 | 2 | -0.5 | -7.0 | 20.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.1 | 20.0 | 20.0 |
Damon Howard Jr.
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Josh Rivera
|
F | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
2026-2027 Shot Zones
309 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Aaron BradshawTy-Laur JohnsonArterio MorrisDeondrea LindseyChristian AlstonAjayi SimmonsPresley PattersonMaddux Bodenhamer
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 82-107 | 76.6 | 164 | Aaron Bradshaw 16% (26 pts) | Jayden Jones 16% (26 pts) | Aaron Bradshaw 20% (5 misses) | Jayden Jones 20% (5 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 25-58 | 43.1 | 50 | Ty-Laur Johnson 24% (12 pts) | Jayden Jones 16% (8 pts) | Arterio Morris 21% (7 misses) | Christian Alston 21% (7 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 1-13 | 7.7 | 2 | Ty-Laur Johnson 100% (2 pts) | - | Arterio Morris 33% (4 misses) | Aaron Bradshaw 25% (3 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 2-6 | 33.3 | 4 | Aaron Bradshaw 50% (2 pts) | Maddux Bodenhamer 50% (2 pts) | Aaron Bradshaw 50% (2 misses) | Deondrea Lindsey 50% (2 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 2-12 | 16.7 | 4 | Aaron Bradshaw 50% (2 pts) | Ty-Laur Johnson 50% (2 pts) | Deondrea Lindsey 30% (3 misses) | Aaron Bradshaw 10% (1 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 5-20 | 25.0 | 15 | Ajayi Simmons 60% (9 pts) | Christian Alston 20% (3 pts) | Christian Alston 27% (4 misses) | Aaron Bradshaw 20% (3 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 4-9 | 44.4 | 12 | Aaron Bradshaw 25% (3 pts) | Ajayi Simmons 25% (3 pts) | Arterio Morris 40% (2 misses) | Kavien Jones 40% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 6-34 | 17.6 | 18 | Maddux Bodenhamer 33% (6 pts) | Presley Patterson 33% (6 pts) | Arterio Morris 18% (5 misses) | Isaiah Stewart 18% (5 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 3-9 | 33.3 | 9 | Aaron Bradshaw 33% (3 pts) | Deondrea Lindsey 33% (3 pts) | Aaron Bradshaw 33% (2 misses) | Ty-Laur Johnson 33% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 11-41 | 26.8 | 33 | Arterio Morris 36% (12 pts) | Aaron Bradshaw 9% (3 pts) | Presley Patterson 27% (8 misses) | Arterio Morris 20% (6 misses) |