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Providence Friars 73
@
Villanova Wildcats 75
2025-01-17

Model Predictions

Model Providence Friars Villanova Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 13.7% 86.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 27.1% 72.9% - ✓
Margin 16.5% 83.5% +8.9 ✓ (6.9 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% - ✓
Efficiency 35.7% 64.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 19.9% 80.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 19.6% 80.4% - ✓
Points Off/Def 30.6% 69.4% - ✓

Actual: Villanova Wildcats +2 (75-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Joseph 40 6-12 4-7 4-4 7 3 1 0 2 20 17 +12.8
J. Pierre 36 1-11 1-9 1-3 0 7 0 0 2 4 -2 +14.4
C. Floyd Jr. 35 5-11 2-6 6-6 4 2 1 0 1 18 13 +11.0
O. Erhunmwunse 33 1-1 0-0 0-2 8 0 0 3 1 2 11 +14.3
J. Fernandez 27 6-13 5-10 0-0 5 4 0 0 2 17 11 +12.9
J. Abdur-Rahim 19 4-6 2-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 10 7 -1.7
E. DeLaurier 7 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 2 2 -3.0
R. Barron 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.1

Villanova Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Poplar 39 5-11 2-6 3-4 13 0 0 1 1 15 17 -9.0
E. Dixon 37 7-16 2-7 7-8 8 1 1 0 1 23 16 -11.2
J. Longino 35 5-9 1-4 2-2 0 0 1 0 2 13 3 -10.6
J. Brickus 33 7-14 2-6 2-2 4 4 1 0 1 18 12 -8.1
T. Perkins 29 2-6 0-3 0-0 4 1 3 1 1 4 6 -10.6
E. Boakye 13 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 +8.3
J. Moseley 8 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -7.2
K. Parker 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 0 +1.5

* = starter