Model Predictions
| Model | St. John's Red Storm | Providence Friars | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.0% | 8.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 87.1% | 12.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 87.6% | 12.4% | -10.8 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.3% | 8.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.4% | 8.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.5% | 27.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Providence Friars -2 (70-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
St. John's Red Storm
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Z. Ejiofor | 34 | 7-14 | 0-2 | 5-12 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 15 | -3.4 |
| D. Smith | 33 | 8-15 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 11 | -1.1 |
| S. Wilcher | 31 | 1-10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | +2.3 |
| A. Scott | 28 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -5.1 |
| R. Luis | 27 | 5-13 | 0-4 | 6-11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 12 | +1.0 |
| K. Richmond | 22 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +3.3 |
| J. Glover-Toscano | 9 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Ibine Ayo | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.8 |
| R. Prey | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.1 |
| V. Iwuchukwu | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -0.1 |
Providence Friars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Pierre | 33 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 6-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 8 | +3.4 |
| B. Joseph | 31 | 7-13 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 9 | +5.0 |
| W. Cardet Jr. | 30 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 6 | +3.9 |
| R. Mela | 22 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +5.5 |
| C. Floyd Jr. | 20 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| A. Bonke | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | +1.4 |
| R. Barron | 17 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +2.3 |
| O. Erhunmwunse | 17 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | +6.8 |
| J. Abdur-Rahim | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.2 |
| J. Fernandez | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1.8 |
| C. Essandoko | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.5 |
* = starter