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2024-12-08

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Fordham Rams Spread Result
Elo 64.5% 35.5% -
Bradley-Terry 47.8% 52.2% -
Margin 38.7% 61.3% +2.5 (12.5 off)
Pythagorean 61.4% 38.6% -
Efficiency 61.4% 38.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 42.1% 57.9% -
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% -
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% -

Actual: Fordham Rams +15 (87-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Lopez 37 8-14 1-1 7-7 4 0 1 0 3 24 12 -15.5
K. Tynes 36 2-13 0-3 1-1 1 3 3 0 2 5 -3 -15.4
J. Clayton 29 2-9 0-1 0-0 5 5 0 0 1 4 4 -18.3
Q. Burns 29 1-6 0-2 5-5 4 2 0 1 4 7 4 -9.1
C. Mantis 20 3-7 2-4 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 8 6 +1.3
K. Steele 19 4-6 0-0 2-4 5 0 2 0 2 10 9 -13.2
K. Gribben 12 4-6 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 -6.5
R. Tutic 9 0-1 0-0 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 2 3 +0.0
N. Perovic 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -1.0
I. Bonilla 3 2-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 4 2 -0.9
L. Carey 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +0.0

Fordham Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Johnson III 32 5-13 3-7 3-6 3 6 2 0 2 16 12 +16.3
J. Medor 29 3-7 1-3 0-0 2 5 1 1 2 7 7 +17.7
R. Dean 24 4-10 3-3 5-5 5 0 4 1 0 16 16 +18.4
J. Tripp 24 4-8 0-2 1-2 6 3 1 0 4 9 7 +16.2
J. Rivera 23 4-7 0-0 2-4 7 1 1 1 2 10 11 -1.8
A. Tsimbila 18 5-7 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 2 0 10 14 +21.4
M. Zona 17 4-4 2-2 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 10 11 +3.4
Z. Riley 12 2-4 0-2 0-1 5 1 0 0 1 4 5 +5.4
J. Smith 10 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 -4.5
R. Pettis 8 0-0 0-0 2-3 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -5.3
M. Miller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
J. O'Toole 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0
B. Nussbaum 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2.0

* = starter