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2024-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears UConn Huskies Spread Result
Elo 19.2% 80.8% -
Bradley-Terry 47.0% 53.0% -
Margin 41.2% 58.8% +1.9 (2.1 off)
Pythagorean 42.9% 57.1% -
Efficiency 42.9% 57.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 48.2% 51.8% -
Log Adjusted 48.5% 51.5% -
Points Off/Def 44.2% 55.8% -

Actual: UConn Huskies +4 (76-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Love * 36 6-12 3-5 1-1 2 1 1 0 1 16 7 +3.1
N. Omier * 31 5-10 0-2 4-6 7 2 1 2 2 14 14 +0.5
J. Nunn * 31 3-7 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 8 0 -15.4
J. Ojianwuna * 30 1-3 0-0 1-3 14 0 0 0 1 3 13 -1.4
J. Roach * 23 3-6 1-2 2-3 1 0 0 0 1 9 3 +3.2
R. Wright III 33 9-14 1-3 3-5 1 4 1 0 0 22 14 -5.2
J. Celestine 16 0-3 0-3 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 -1 +9.5
J. Asemota 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UConn Huskies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. McNeeley * 36 5-13 2-7 5-5 8 1 0 3 1 17 15 +4.5
S. Ball * 30 3-7 3-6 2-2 1 0 0 1 2 11 4 -0.8
H. Diarra * 27 1-6 0-5 7-10 2 7 0 0 1 9 11 +3.1
J. Stewart * 24 1-3 0-1 4-6 4 1 1 0 0 6 9 +1.8
S. Johnson * 22 4-4 0-0 5-6 4 0 1 2 1 13 15 +8.3
T. Reed Jr. 28 3-6 0-0 3-4 5 2 0 2 0 9 12 -7.8
A. Mahaney 18 3-4 3-4 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 9 9 +9.6
J. Ross 15 1-3 0-2 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 1 +6.1

* = starter