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2024-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears St. John's Red Storm Spread Result
Elo 14.5% 85.5% -
Bradley-Terry 25.0% 75.0% -
Margin 29.8% 70.2% +4.7 (5.7 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 40.7% 59.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 32.1% 67.9% -
Log Adjusted 32.7% 67.3% -
Points Off/Def 36.9% 63.1% -

Actual: St. John's Red Storm -1 (98-99). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Roach * 44 7-14 3-5 3-5 3 4 1 0 3 20 11 +4.2
N. Omier * 40 9-18 0-3 6-10 10 3 3 1 2 24 21 +5.6
J. Nunn * 38 4-12 2-5 2-4 8 4 2 1 1 12 14 +12.2
VJ Edgecombe * 36 4-15 2-5 0-0 4 3 3 2 4 10 3 +1.2
J. Ojianwuna * 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 1 0 2 8 -2.0
J. Celestine 32 4-7 4-5 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 14 8 +10.3
R. Wright III 27 6-13 4-5 1-2 1 3 1 0 3 17 6 -3.2
L. Love 16 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 4 0 0 1 0 3 +2.6

St. John's Red Storm

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Richmond * 45 4-11 1-2 5-8 4 7 2 1 3 14 14 +4.5
Z. Ejiofor * 42 8-10 0-0 6-12 10 2 1 5 4 22 26 -12.1
R. Luis * 42 6-13 3-5 1-2 6 4 2 2 3 16 14 -
D. Smith * 36 4-8 1-3 1-2 6 5 1 2 3 10 13 -2.9
S. Wilcher * 27 2-4 2-3 0-0 0 1 2 0 4 6 1 -11.4
A. Scott 35 6-8 5-6 3-4 6 1 0 1 1 20 19 +3.5
B. Dunlap 12 2-5 2-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 6 5 +7.7
V. Iwuchukwu 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 2 +8.6
R. Prey 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -

* = starter