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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Creighton Bluejays Alabama Crimson Tide Spread Result
Elo 26.3% 73.7% -
Bradley-Terry 25.6% 74.4% -
Margin 11.0% 89.0% +11.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.4% 55.6% -
Efficiency 44.4% 55.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 15.8% 84.2% -
Log Adjusted 15.3% 84.7% -
Points Off/Def 25.8% 74.2% -

Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +8 (83-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Creighton Bluejays

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Ashworth 39 5-13 2-8 8-8 0 9 0 0 4 20 12 -5.5
R. Kalkbrenner 36 8-13 0-2 2-4 7 2 1 2 2 18 15 -3.3
J. Neal 31 5-14 1-4 2-3 8 3 0 0 5 13 5 -5.8
J. Green 25 3-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 1 1 1 6 7 -2.4
J. McAndrew 19 5-9 5-8 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 16 8 +1.4
M. Miller 17 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 2 0 0 0 0 -19.8
I. Traudt 15 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 0 3 +8.9
S. Thomas 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.9
Ty Davis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -8.2
F. King 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 4 +2.0

Alabama Crimson Tide

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Sears 34 8-15 4-7 7-8 6 4 1 0 1 27 22 +13.2
G. Nelson 25 1-6 0-2 2-3 10 1 0 0 3 4 6 +14.4
C. Omoruyi 25 2-3 0-0 4-4 4 2 1 0 0 8 12 +9.4
L. Philon 24 7-11 0-3 2-2 5 2 2 0 4 16 10 +13.7
D. Reid 21 6-10 0-2 0-1 4 2 0 0 0 12 8 +7.6
J. Stevenson 17 0-3 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 +5.6
C. Youngblood 16 2-6 1-5 0-0 1 1 2 0 1 5 2 -5.4
A. Holloway 16 2-6 0-4 2-3 1 0 1 0 1 6 1 -5.5
A. Sherrell 10 1-9 1-5 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 3 1 +3.7
H. Mallette 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -0.9
M. Dioubate 4 1-1 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -0.0

* = starter