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2024-12-17

Model Predictions

Model Valparaiso Beacons Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 37.0% 63.0% -
Bradley-Terry 21.5% 78.5% -
Margin 1.9% 98.1% +21.6 (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 33.3% 66.7% -
Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 11.9% 88.1% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +22 (95-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Valparaiso Beacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Schwieger 34 5-9 2-3 4-4 8 0 1 1 1 16 16 -20.8
A. Wright 31 8-15 1-4 5-6 4 3 0 1 2 22 13 -6.6
J. De La Cruz Monegro 29 4-12 1-4 7-7 3 1 1 0 2 16 7 -6.4
T. Schmidt 24 3-12 1-5 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 7 -3 -23.4
J. McNair 18 1-6 0-3 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -3 -1.7
I. Shaw 17 0-6 0-4 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -5 -11.9
D. Ellis 15 3-5 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 3 8 4 -4.8
K. Sepp 14 0-0 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 2 7 -6.1
D. DeAveiro 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -21.0
L. Scroggins 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 0 3 -4.0

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Parrish 37 3-10 0-5 8-8 7 2 3 1 2 14 15 +23.2
J. Mobley Jr. 34 3-11 3-6 0-0 1 5 0 0 0 9 4 +18.5
D. Royal 33 11-16 1-4 8-9 15 0 1 0 1 31 30 +25.7
E. Mahaffey 29 6-6 0-0 3-5 5 1 2 1 2 15 16 +27.6
B. Thornton 27 6-11 1-3 1-2 3 6 0 0 2 14 10 +7.9
A. Parks 16 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 +21.0
S. Stewart 14 3-4 0-0 1-1 5 0 1 0 1 7 8 -2.3
C. Baumann 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.2
K. Etzler 3 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 0 -4.1
B. Nash 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -4.1
I. Njegovan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter