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2024-12-21

Model Predictions

Model Kentucky Wildcats Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 78.4% 21.6% -
Bradley-Terry 69.4% 30.6% -
Margin 53.3% 46.7% -0.7 (20.7 off)
Pythagorean 48.7% 51.3% -
Efficiency 48.7% 51.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 63.2% 36.8% -
Log Adjusted 63.3% 36.7% -
Points Off/Def 51.0% 49.0% -

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +20 (85-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Carr 33 3-9 0-4 7-9 4 2 0 1 1 13 10 -28.6
J. Robinson 31 3-11 2-7 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 10 3 -24.1
O. Oweh 30 4-13 0-1 13-13 2 0 1 0 1 21 10 -24.0
K. Brea 27 3-9 2-7 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 8 -1 -21.7
L. Butler 27 1-7 0-3 2-2 3 5 2 1 4 4 4 -16.8
A. Williams 20 2-6 0-0 2-4 8 2 1 1 1 6 11 -7.7
B. Garrison 17 1-2 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 6 -15.4
A. Almonor 6 0-0 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 1 2 +2.3
C. Chandler 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -10.7
T. Perry 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.3

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Thornton 38 8-13 1-3 13-14 4 3 1 1 2 30 24 +32.7
J. Mobley Jr. 36 5-13 1-7 4-4 3 3 2 0 0 15 10 +35.0
E. Mahaffey 32 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 6 8 +26.7
M. Parrish 23 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 1 3 2 1 +15.5
A. Bradshaw 18 5-6 1-2 0-2 2 1 2 0 0 11 10 +22.9
D. Royal 16 2-5 0-0 3-4 6 2 1 1 0 7 12 +6.4
S. Stewart 15 2-4 0-0 1-3 4 0 0 0 0 5 5 +4.7
Q. Glover 15 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 9 7 +18.6
A. Parks 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +1.7

* = starter