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2024-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix IU Indianapolis Jaguars Spread Result
Elo 21.6% 78.4% -
Bradley-Terry 37.9% 62.1% -
Margin 30.1% 69.9% +4.6 (4.4 off)
Pythagorean 36.5% 63.5% -
Efficiency 39.4% 60.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.8% 60.2% -
Log Adjusted 40.1% 59.9% -
Points Off/Def 39.3% 60.7% -

Actual: IU Indianapolis Jaguars +9 (84-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Roy * 37 12-20 6-12 4-6 7 2 0 0 2 34 21 -7.4
M. Hall * 36 2-5 0-2 7-8 6 2 0 0 4 11 10 -8.8
F. Wonders * 31 4-8 3-6 3-4 3 2 0 1 0 14 12 -4.9
P. Ruedinger * 31 1-6 1-4 0-0 0 3 0 0 2 3 -2 -10.6
R. Oselka * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 0 6 +2.0
M. Wrecke 25 2-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 5 -6.6
B. Tweedy 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 2 1 0 3 2 1 -0.5
J. Johnson 12 2-5 0-2 2-2 2 0 1 0 0 6 4 +0.2
C.J. O'Hara 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 1 -0.8

IU Indianapolis Jaguars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Millender * 36 5-9 2-5 3-5 1 5 1 1 0 15 14 +7.1
J. Walker * 34 10-20 1-7 4-4 4 3 2 0 0 25 14 +5.4
P. Zilinskas * 34 4-12 2-6 1-3 4 1 1 1 1 11 5 +9.1
S. Craig * 32 4-12 0-6 4-6 12 1 0 0 3 12 10 +13.1
D. Goode * 30 5-6 3-3 3-5 11 2 1 1 0 16 25 +16.8
K. Garner 13 1-1 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 2 5 -9.1
N. Dudukovich 10 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -4.6
T. Brown 7 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -1.3
R. Rutland III 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 3 2 +2.0

* = starter