🐻⬇️🏀

@
2024-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 62.4% 37.6% -
Bradley-Terry 44.2% 55.8% -
Margin 58.8% 41.2% -2.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 50.0% 50.0% -
Efficiency 50.0% 50.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% -
Log Adjusted 60.8% 39.2% -
Points Off/Def 52.8% 47.2% -

Actual: UCLA Bruins +3 (65-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Nembhard 40 7-12 2-4 0-1 4 8 0 0 2 16 14 -1.3
G. Ike 31 11-16 1-1 1-1 8 2 0 0 4 24 14 -4.8
N. Hickman 31 2-6 2-6 0-0 3 4 0 0 3 6 4 -0.3
D. Stromer 30 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 2 -2.4
M. Ajayi 20 0-2 0-1 0-0 5 1 2 0 3 0 3 -9.4
B. Gregg 20 1-5 0-4 4-6 4 1 0 1 1 6 6 +4.9
K. Battle 13 2-4 1-3 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -3.2
B. Huff 9 1-6 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 2 -2 +1.8
E. Innocenti 6 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -0.1

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Bilodeau 38 2-10 1-4 2-2 5 2 2 0 3 7 3 +6.2
S. Clark 35 3-5 1-1 4-4 9 7 1 0 2 11 21 +7.2
K. Johnson 27 4-6 4-6 0-0 8 1 1 1 2 12 15 -9.9
E. Dailey Jr. 26 5-10 4-5 4-6 6 2 4 0 1 18 19 +12.5
L. Stefanovic 22 4-8 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 10 1 +8.4
S. Mack 22 1-7 0-1 2-5 3 2 0 0 1 4 1 +0.0
D. Andrews 17 0-5 0-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -3.4
A. Mara 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 2 1 0 1 -1.8
T. Perry 5 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 3 3 +12.4

* = starter