Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.1% | 93.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 1.4% | 98.6% | +23.6 | ✓ (9.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.4% | 90.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +14 (84-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. O'Neil * | 26 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | -5.8 |
| D. Darling * | 25 | 5-10 | 1-5 | 2-3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 7 | -2.6 |
| I. Griffin * | 24 | 5-8 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 9 | -3.0 |
| C. Hollenbeck * | 23 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | -9.7 |
| E. Otten * | 19 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +2.4 |
| B. Daberkow | 20 | 2-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -1 | +0.5 |
| J. Greene | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +7.1 |
| J. Brown | 16 | 3-7 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | -4.3 |
| Q. Meza | 15 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | -4.3 |
| AJ Burgin | 13 | 4-8 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | -11.4 |
| C. Kelly | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Bilodeau * | 30 | 8-14 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | +8.6 |
| E. Dailey Jr. * | 28 | 7-9 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +11.3 |
| S. Clark * | 26 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +2.4 |
| L. Stefanovic * | 23 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +11.8 |
| K. Johnson * | 15 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | -2.1 |
| S. Mack | 28 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 15-16 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 17 | -1.0 |
| W. Kyle III | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +4.1 |
| T. Perry | 16 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | -0.6 |
| D. Andrews | 12 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | +10.8 |
| D. Harris | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.2 |
| A. Mara | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter