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2025-03-05

Model Predictions

Model Tennessee Volunteers Ole Miss Rebels Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -
Bradley-Terry 50.9% 49.1% -
Margin 63.3% 36.7% -3.0 (5.0 off)
Pythagorean 52.2% 47.8% -
Efficiency 52.2% 47.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 75.7% 24.3% -
Log Adjusted 76.0% 24.0% -
Points Off/Def 56.2% 43.8% -

Actual: Ole Miss Rebels +2 (78-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Zeigler 37 2-9 1-6 3-4 4 15 3 0 2 8 19 -3.6
C. Lanier 34 6-12 3-8 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 15 8 -1.1
F. Okpara 29 6-10 0-0 1-1 7 0 0 2 1 13 11 -5.7
J. Mashack 29 2-3 1-2 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 7 8 -9.1
J. Gainey 28 4-9 4-9 5-7 3 1 1 0 1 17 12 +1.9
I. Milicic Jr. 23 3-8 2-4 1-1 3 2 0 1 1 9 6 -3.3
D. Dubar 11 2-3 1-2 2-2 2 2 0 0 0 7 8 +5.1
C. Phillips 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -3.0
B. Boswell 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -0.1

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Pedulla 36 3-11 1-5 0-0 4 6 0 0 2 7 4 +3.5
M. Murrell 33 5-12 1-5 1-1 4 1 1 0 1 12 5 +7.6
D. Davis 29 5-13 1-4 2-2 10 3 2 0 1 13 14 +12.2
J. Murray 26 4-10 1-3 0-1 2 2 0 0 1 9 2 +10.6
D. Barnes 24 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 0 +5.1
J. Brakefield 24 8-9 0-1 3-3 2 2 0 0 0 19 14 +10.6
M. Dia 16 5-7 1-1 2-4 5 0 0 0 0 13 11 +0.1
M. Brown-Jones 8 1-3 0-0 3-3 1 1 0 0 0 5 4 -5.6
E. Klafke 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +2.1

* = starter