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2025-01-22

Model Predictions

Model Texas A&M Aggies Ole Miss Rebels Spread Result
Elo 43.9% 56.1% -
Bradley-Terry 31.2% 68.8% -
Margin 41.4% 58.6% +1.9 (2.9 off)
Pythagorean 47.8% 52.2% -
Efficiency 47.7% 52.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.8% 47.2% -
Log Adjusted 53.0% 47.0% -
Points Off/Def 45.1% 54.9% -

Actual: Ole Miss Rebels -1 (62-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Texas A&M Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Hefner 29 3-7 3-7 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 9 4 +3.0
W. Taylor IV 29 2-12 0-6 0-0 3 5 2 0 5 4 -3 +2.2
Z. Phelps 26 6-19 0-5 2-2 6 2 0 0 3 14 0 +2.6
S. Washington 25 1-3 0-2 0-0 7 1 1 2 1 2 9 -
A. Garcia 21 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 2 2 0 7 +11.5
P. Payne 19 4-6 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 3 10 9 -0.9
M. Obaseki 18 4-7 2-3 2-2 3 1 0 1 4 12 6 +7.0
H. Coleman III 15 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 1 0 0 1 5 -3.3
J. Carter 13 2-2 1-1 0-1 4 0 0 1 0 5 8 +2.1
CJ Wilcher 5 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 1 -2.2

Ole Miss Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Murray 34 4-9 4-7 0-0 3 6 2 0 1 12 13 +0.7
S. Pedulla 34 6-12 4-9 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 16 9 +1.1
M. Dia 29 6-9 0-2 0-0 3 1 0 2 2 12 7 +2.4
D. Barnes 25 1-7 1-5 0-1 3 3 1 1 1 3 3 -2.9
J. Brakefield 24 4-12 1-4 1-1 8 2 1 0 2 10 7 -2.6
M. Murrell 22 1-9 1-6 2-2 3 4 3 1 1 5 6 -3.3
D. Davis 21 2-5 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 4 2 +0.6
M. Brown-Jones 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 0 2 -2.6
E. Klafke 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 0 -3.3

* = starter