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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas Razorbacks Tennessee Volunteers Spread Result
Elo 28.2% 71.8% -
Bradley-Terry 18.4% 81.6% -
Margin 14.6% 85.4% +9.7 (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 41.7% 58.3% -
Efficiency 42.5% 57.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.0% 87.0% -
Log Adjusted 13.1% 86.9% -
Points Off/Def 28.9% 71.1% -

Actual: Tennessee Volunteers +24 (76-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas Razorbacks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Wagner 37 6-12 1-5 4-5 2 3 0 0 4 17 6 -16.6
B. Fland 35 5-15 2-9 0-0 3 3 3 0 1 12 5 -17.8
J. Aidoo 29 2-3 0-1 0-2 5 0 2 3 1 4 10 -8.5
J. Davis 25 0-4 0-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -15.4
A. Thiero 25 3-7 0-2 0-4 5 3 2 2 2 6 9 +3.5
K. Knox 17 2-4 2-4 0-0 0 0 0 1 2 6 1 -2.4
T. Brazile 13 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 0 0 1 1 2 2 -10.6
B. Richmond III 10 1-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 0 -0.4
Z. Ivisic 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 3 0 0 3 2 3 5 -13.4

Tennessee Volunteers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Zeigler 38 4-11 2-5 2-2 5 7 3 0 2 12 14 +20.9
I. Milicic Jr. 36 4-11 2-5 3-5 18 5 1 1 4 13 23 +13.7
C. Lanier 35 10-20 5-9 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 29 10 +15.5
J. Gainey 25 3-10 1-6 0-0 5 2 3 0 3 7 4 +24.0
F. Okpara 24 4-8 0-0 2-2 4 0 0 0 0 10 6 +2.6
J. Mashack 22 1-4 0-0 1-2 3 3 3 0 0 3 8 +10.5
C. Phillips 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 0 0 2 6 +18.1
D. Dubar 8 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.7
B. Boswell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -0.0

* = starter