Model Predictions
| Model | Purdue Boilermakers | Auburn Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.6% | 75.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 18.5% | 81.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.1% | 86.9% | +10.4 | ✓ (7.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.4% | 84.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Auburn Tigers +18 (87-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Purdue Boilermakers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Smith | 37 | 3-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Kaufman-Renn | 32 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 12 | -17.9 |
| F. Loyer | 26 | 3-12 | 0-4 | 5-5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 1 | -20.9 |
| M. Colvin | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.2 |
| C. Heide | 21 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -4.7 |
| C.J. Cox | 19 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 7-7 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 14 | -2.1 |
| G. Harris | 14 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +14.2 |
| C. Furst | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | -1.5 |
| R. Burgess | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +7.6 |
| W. Berg | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Waddell | 2 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +11.1 |
Auburn Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Broome | 30 | 10-15 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 | 22 | +11.7 |
| D. Jones | 27 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | +20.9 |
| M. Kelly | 27 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | +16.1 |
| T. Pettiford | 23 | 7-12 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 11 | +9.3 |
| C. Baker-Mazara | 23 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 17 | +13.0 |
| J. Howard | 19 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | -6.0 |
| Dy. Cardwell | 18 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| C. Johnson | 15 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | +2.3 |
| C. Moore | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -7.5 |
| J. Hudson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.2 |
| B. Muschalek | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.1 |
| JP Pegues | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -11.2 |
| P. Patterson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter