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2024-11-11

Model Predictions

Model Yale Bulldogs Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 33.6% 66.4% -
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% -
Margin 6.8% 93.2% +14.4 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 49.2% 50.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 4.4% 95.6% -
Log Adjusted 4.0% 96.0% -
Points Off/Def 20.1% 79.9% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +8 (92-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Poulakidas * 37 9-19 5-12 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 23 10 -13.1
B. Mbeng * 34 4-8 1-4 3-6 5 5 0 0 2 12 12 -9.6
S. Aletan * 30 5-10 0-1 4-7 7 3 1 1 0 14 16 -10.0
N. Townsend * 29 5-9 0-2 2-4 3 4 1 0 3 12 8 -11.6
Y. Gharram * 27 2-4 1-2 0-1 6 4 0 0 3 5 8 -12.4
C. Simmons 14 5-6 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 10 2 -10.4
I. Celiscar 14 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 -1 +0.5
J. Molloy 8 1-2 0-1 1-1 3 2 0 0 0 3 6 -0.5
J. Brathwaite 4 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -2.4
T. Mullin 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +2.6

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Smith * 35 7-16 4-8 4-4 9 6 5 0 3 22 23 -
T. Kaufman-Renn * 30 5-8 0-0 7-9 3 3 1 0 2 17 14 +12.8
F. Loyer * 26 5-7 2-2 2-2 0 3 0 0 2 14 8 +6.7
G. Harris * 19 2-5 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 5 2 +4.0
W. Berg * 16 1-1 0-0 2-4 1 1 0 0 2 4 3 -1.6
M. Colvin 24 3-5 2-4 1-2 5 0 1 0 1 9 9 +22.4
C. Heide 18 2-3 2-3 3-4 6 0 0 0 0 9 12 +2.4
C.J. Cox 16 3-5 0-2 6-7 2 2 0 0 0 12 11 +10.3
R. Burgess 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 0 2 +4.8
C. Furst 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 1 -0.2

* = starter