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2024-12-03

Model Predictions

Model BYU Cougars Providence Friars Spread Result
Elo 91.7% 8.3% -
Bradley-Terry 79.5% 20.5% -
Margin 83.7% 16.3% -9.0 (28.0 off)
Pythagorean 60.5% 39.5% -
Efficiency 60.5% 39.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 87.8% 12.2% -
Log Adjusted 88.0% 12.0% -
Points Off/Def 67.9% 32.1% -

Actual: Providence Friars +19 (83-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hall * 26 1-6 0-3 0-0 2 4 0 0 2 2 0 -14.4
R. Saunders * 26 3-8 1-4 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 7 4 -2.0
K. Catchings * 23 1-8 1-4 0-1 7 2 0 1 1 3 4 -21.3
E. Demin * 22 0-10 0-5 6-6 3 2 0 0 1 6 0 -5.0
K. Keita * 22 4-9 0-0 1-4 10 0 1 0 0 9 11 +6.4
D. Baker 23 7-11 2-3 0-1 4 0 1 0 0 16 10 -5.1
T. Knell 16 3-4 3-4 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 9 5 -20.9
F. Traore 14 4-8 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 8 3 -14.4
M. Boskovic 13 0-2 0-1 0-1 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -17.9
M. Mag 9 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -2.9
E. Crawford 3 0-2 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Stewart 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -5.1

Providence Friars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Pierre * 36 5-8 2-5 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 12 9 +21.3
B. Hopkins * 26 3-6 0-1 10-12 5 4 0 0 0 16 19 +11.3
C. Floyd Jr. * 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 0 1 2 4 -0.8
C. Essandoko * 18 2-3 1-2 1-2 6 1 0 1 0 6 11 +9.7
W. Cardet Jr. * 16 2-2 1-1 3-4 1 0 0 0 2 8 5 +8.2
B. Joseph 30 5-7 2-3 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 12 7 +23.6
J. Abdur-Rahim 29 5-9 4-7 7-8 5 0 0 1 0 21 18 +4.3
R. Barron 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 6 5 +23.5
O. Erhunmwunse 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +4.0
R. Mela 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 +3.1

* = starter