Providence
2026-2027 Team Stats (4 games)
71.5
PPG
57.8
Opp
+13.8
Margin
40.3%
FG%
25.8%
3P%
71.0%
FT%
38.5
RPG
15.8
APG
13.8
TO
70.1
Est. poss./game
71.5
Adj PPG
63.1
Adj Opp PPG
#57
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2026-2027
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1241 (#61) | Preseason prior 1244 (returning production + recruiting): last season 1060, returning -49, transfers +188, freshmen +44 |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1138 (#65) | HCA +206 elo |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1134 (#65) | HCA +205 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +13.5 (#64) | HCA +2.2 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +13.4 (#65) | HCA +2.2 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.843 (#71) | - |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.758 (#65) | AdjNet +14.4 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.761 (#67) | AdjNet +14.1 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.707 (#57) | AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 63.1 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.704 (#57) | AdjO 71.5 | AdjD 63.2 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.748 (#67) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.748 (#67) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1155 (#78) | RD 179 | GP 3 |
| Adjusted Context Blend Adjusted Context Blend Chronologically trained component blend with rest and signed venue context. More → | 0.762 (#57) | Chronological component blend with rest and venue. |
Rank through the season
League rank each week from the model's fit of the games played by then, published the same way as the table above, so each line ends at the rank shown there. Select a point for its rating.
Recency Ensemble
Log Adjusted
Elo
Points Off/Def Recency
2026-2027 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-02 | vs | Maine Black Bears | W | 83 - 56 |
| 2026-11-07 | @ | Nebraska Cornhuskers | L | 58 - 67 |
| 2026-11-10 | vs | Bryant Bulldogs | W | 78 - 55 |
| 2026-11-14 | vs | Colorado Buffaloes | W | 67 - 53 |
| 2026-11-17 | vs | Sacred Heart Pioneers | - | Preview |
2026-2027 Roster
Estimated Minutes by Position
Estimated from roster positions, box scores and minutes played. Each column totals one game's minutes, divided among the players. Use the labels or legend to highlight a player's estimated role.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Devin Vanterpool
|
G | 2 | 24.5 | 16.0 | 5.0 | 2.5 | 2.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 14.0 | 11.0 | 14 | 2 | 7.0 | 11.5 | 39.3 | 33.3 | 100.0 | 1.16 | 53.0 | 48.2 |
Malik Mack
|
G | 4 | 29.2 | 12.0 | 3.2 | 3.2 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 1.0 | 10.8 | 8.0 | 10 | 2 | 5.0 | 6.5 | 39.5 | 33.3 | 87.5 | 0.83 | 51.6 | 47.7 |
Miles Byrd
|
G | 4 | 29.2 | 11.0 | 5.2 | 2.5 | 5.2 | 1.2 | 2.2 | 10.2 | 12.8 | 22 | 2 | 11.0 | 16.2 | 31.7 | 23.3 | 84.6 | 1.23 | 47.1 | 40.2 |
Ryan Mela
|
G | 3 | 21.3 | 9.7 | 5.3 | 2.0 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 2.7 | 9.7 | 5.7 | -4 | 1 | -4.0 | -6.0 | 37.9 | 18.2 | 62.5 | -0.86 | 44.6 | 41.4 |
Jacob Bannarbie
|
F | 4 | 25.5 | 8.8 | 7.2 | 1.5 | 1.2 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 4.0 | 13.5 | 16 | 2 | 8.0 | 12.9 | 100.0 | 0 | 50.0 | 0.18 | 93.9 | 100.0 |
Arrinten Page
|
F | 2 | 17.0 | 7.5 | 3.0 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | 7.5 | 3.0 | - | - | - | - | 40.0 | 37.5 | 0 | - | 50.0 | 50.0 |
Clyde Walters
|
F | 2 | 17.0 | 7.5 | 4.5 | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 4.5 | 11.5 | 4 | 1 | 4.0 | 10.8 | 55.6 | 25.0 | 80.0 | -0.44 | 67.0 | 61.1 |
Leonardo Marangon
|
F | 4 | 17.5 | 5.5 | 2.5 | 1.2 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 1.0 | 7.0 | 2.5 | 1 | 2 | 0.5 | 1.2 | 28.6 | 25.0 | 50.0 | 0.15 | 38.1 | 37.5 |
Gavin Hightower
|
G | 4 | 28.5 | 5.0 | 3.2 | 2.8 | 2.5 | 0.0 | 2.5 | 5.0 | 6.0 | 16 | 2 | 8.0 | 10.5 | 35.0 | 0.0 | 66.7 | 0.13 | 41.7 | 35.0 |
Elijah Saunders
|
F | 3 | 13.3 | 4.7 | 0.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 1.0 | -2 | 2 | -1.0 | -2.3 | 46.2 | 22.2 | 0 | -0.53 | 53.8 | 53.8 |
Javon Bardwell
|
F | 3 | 8.0 | 4.0 | 1.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 1.3 | 3.0 | 1.7 | -7 | 2 | -3.5 | -29.5 | 44.4 | 50.0 | 33.3 | -0.58 | 51.5 | 55.6 |
Samson Aletan
|
C | 2 | 4.5 | 0.0 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 1.5 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 |
John Jackson
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Ryan Sabol
|
G | 4 | 6.5 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.5 | -1.2 | 0 | 2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -0.44 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Providence players in NBA 2026-2027, EuroLeague 2026-2027, G League 2026-2027, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Providence game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG | Last game | Last 30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kris Dunn | 2012-16 | NBA | LA Clippers | 11 | 27.8 | 7.9 | 3.9 | 4.5 | 11-13 2 pts, 3 reb, 6 ast | 11 GP, 7.9 PPG, 3.9 RPG, 4.5 APG |
| Alpha Diallo | 2016-20 | NBA | Denver Nuggets | 4 | 8.0 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | 11-09 0 pts, 0 reb, 0 ast | 4 GP, 1.0 PPG, 0.8 RPG, 0.8 APG |
| Justin Minaya | 2021-22 | EuroLeague | FC Barcelona | 8 | 11.8 | 2.0 | 1.6 | 0.2 | 11-13 2 pts, 3 reb, 1 ast | 5 GP, 1.6 PPG, 1.6 RPG, 0.2 APG |
| Devin Carter | 2022-24 | G League | Maine Celtics | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-13 24 pts, 4 reb, 6 ast Play-In | 3 GP, 16.3 PPG, 2.7 RPG, 4.7 APG |
| Jabri Abdur-Rahim | 2024-25 | G League | Capital City Go-Go | 0 | - | - | - | - | 11-07 16 pts, 7 reb, 6 ast Play-In | 1 GP, 16.0 PPG, 7.0 RPG, 6.0 APG |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-11-13 | Kris Dunn | NBA | LA Clippers | vs Oklahoma City Thunder | 20 | 2 | 3 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Justin Minaya | EuroLeague | FC Barcelona | @ Panathinaikos AKTOR Athens | 14 | 2 | 3 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-11-13 | Devin Carter | G League Play-In | Maine Celtics | @ Delaware Blue Coats | 23 | 24 | 4 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-10 | Kris Dunn | NBA | LA Clippers | @ Phoenix Suns | 19 | 3 | 2 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-11-09 | Alpha Diallo | NBA | Denver Nuggets | @ Houston Rockets | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Kris Dunn | NBA | LA Clippers | vs New Orleans Pelicans | 24 | 14 | 5 | 4 | Box |
| 2026-11-08 | Devin Carter | G League Play-In | Maine Celtics | vs Westchester Knicks | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-07 | Jabri Abdur-Rahim | G League Play-In | Capital City Go-Go | @ Delaware Blue Coats | 33 | 16 | 7 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-11-06 | Devin Carter | G League Play-In | Maine Celtics | vs Westchester Knicks | 18 | 16 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-11-05 | Justin Minaya | EuroLeague | FC Barcelona | @ Hapoel IBI Tel Aviv | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-04 | Alpha Diallo | NBA | Denver Nuggets | vs Toronto Raptors | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-11-02 | Alpha Diallo | NBA | Denver Nuggets | vs Portland Trail Blazers | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-10-30 | Justin Minaya | EuroLeague | FC Barcelona | vs Valencia Basket | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | Box |
2026-2027 Shot Zones
258 located field-goal attempts in 4 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Malik MackMiles ByrdJacob BannarbieDevin VanterpoolRyan MelaLeonardo MarangonArrinten PageGavin Hightower
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 44-64 | 68.8 | 88 | Jacob Bannarbie 30% (26 pts) | Malik Mack 16% (14 pts) | Malik Mack 25% (5 misses) | Gavin Hightower 15% (3 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 25-52 | 48.1 | 50 | Devin Vanterpool 16% (8 pts) | Jacob Bannarbie 12% (6 pts) | Gavin Hightower 22% (6 misses) | Devin Vanterpool 19% (5 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 0-6 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Malik Mack 50% (3 misses) | Javon Bardwell 17% (1 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 0-1 | 0.0 | 0 | - | - | Malik Mack 100% (1 misses) | - |
| Mid-range right | 1-3 | 33.3 | 2 | Ryan Mela 100% (2 pts) | - | Malik Mack 100% (2 misses) | - |
| Left corner 3 | 7-22 | 31.8 | 21 | Miles Byrd 43% (9 pts) | Clyde Walters 14% (3 pts) | Devin Vanterpool 27% (4 misses) | Leonardo Marangon 27% (4 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 3-15 | 20.0 | 9 | Malik Mack 67% (6 pts) | Leonardo Marangon 33% (3 pts) | Miles Byrd 33% (4 misses) | Leonardo Marangon 17% (2 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 8-24 | 33.3 | 24 | Devin Vanterpool 38% (9 pts) | Miles Byrd 25% (6 pts) | Miles Byrd 31% (5 misses) | Devin Vanterpool 19% (3 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 9-27 | 33.3 | 27 | Arrinten Page 22% (6 pts) | Elijah Saunders 22% (6 pts) | Malik Mack 28% (5 misses) | Elijah Saunders 22% (4 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 7-44 | 15.9 | 21 | Leonardo Marangon 29% (6 pts) | Malik Mack 29% (6 pts) | Miles Byrd 30% (11 misses) | Leonardo Marangon 16% (6 misses) |