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2024-12-15

Model Predictions

Model Navy Midshipmen Virginia Tech Hokies Spread Result
Elo 65.0% 35.0% -
Bradley-Terry 21.2% 78.8% -
Margin 10.0% 90.0% +12.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 53.9% 46.1% -
Efficiency 57.1% 42.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.0% 91.0% -
Log Adjusted 8.7% 91.3% -
Points Off/Def 22.7% 77.3% -

Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies +8 (80-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Navy Midshipmen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Benigni 37 5-11 1-2 2-2 5 3 1 1 3 13 9 -6.4
A. Kehoe 33 3-3 0-0 0-0 9 2 0 2 1 6 15 +5.3
D. Draper 30 3-7 1-3 2-2 9 1 1 0 4 9 9 -15.0
J. Pennick 23 4-10 2-7 4-4 3 1 0 0 2 14 6 +5.8
L. Rehnstrom 21 5-10 4-9 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 14 3 -4.9
J. Kim 18 2-3 1-2 7-8 1 2 0 0 1 12 11 -13.0
C. Cole 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 0 0 -10.6
M. Woods 12 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 4 4 +15.5
S. Krist 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 +0.2
J. Medalie 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -2.0
C. Johnson 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.8

Virginia Tech Hokies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Brown Jr. 30 4-9 3-4 0-0 4 3 2 0 1 11 10 +10.3
B. Burnham 22 7-9 2-3 1-1 1 1 0 0 0 17 10 +13.0
J. Schutt 21 2-6 2-5 5-5 0 0 1 0 1 11 5 -9.8
B. Hammond 21 4-6 1-1 2-2 1 3 2 0 1 11 10 -5.4
T. Lawal 21 0-2 0-0 2-2 3 0 1 1 1 2 4 +3.6
M. Poteat 19 4-6 0-0 4-6 2 1 0 0 1 12 8 +3.7
B. Rechsteiner 19 1-4 0-2 0-0 0 4 0 0 2 2 0 +15.2
T. Johnson 19 2-4 1-2 2-2 3 1 1 0 1 7 7 -1.6
P. Wessler 18 2-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 3 +6.6
J. Young 10 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 1 -2.2

* = starter