Model Predictions
| Model | Jacksonville Dolphins | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.4% | 49.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.8% | 57.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 21.9% | 78.1% | +7.0 | ✗ (17.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 55.3% | 44.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 55.2% | 44.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 26.5% | 73.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -10 (64-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Jacksonville Dolphins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. McCray V * | 35 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 15 | +12.1 |
| Z. Bell * | 27 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | +16.5 |
| J. Spence * | 27 | 1-7 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +11.5 |
| S. Payne III * | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 5 | +7.3 |
| K. Munson * | 8 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 5 | -2.0 |
| Z. Nwokeji | 27 | 7-13 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 19 | 16 | +10.6 |
| C. Arias | 23 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +13.4 |
| D. Rivers | 15 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 11 | -0.8 |
| E. Borio | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -10.0 |
| K. Jackson | 7 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -3.0 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Rechsteiner * | 32 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 6 | -4.1 |
| J. Schutt * | 32 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -10.2 |
| T. Lawal * | 31 | 6-9 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 14 | 5 | -1.8 |
| M. Poteat * | 23 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | -9.7 |
| T. Johnson * | 20 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -13.0 |
| J. Young | 28 | 3-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 1 | -3.3 |
| B. Burnham | 18 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -6.1 |
| P. Wessler | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | +8.0 |
| B. Hammond | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | -10.0 |
* = starter