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2024-11-04

Model Predictions

Model Maine Black Bears Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 5.3% 94.7% -
Bradley-Terry 4.7% 95.3% -
Margin 0.1% 99.9% +35.9 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 34.4% 65.6% -
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 3.2% 96.8% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +34 (96-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Maine Black Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Clayton 30 3-9 0-2 2-2 4 1 2 0 5 8 1 -18.3
K. Tynes 30 3-10 0-2 1-2 5 2 3 0 2 7 5 -17.3
Q. Burns 27 5-12 1-5 4-4 5 0 3 0 2 15 9 -6.1
C. Mantis 25 2-5 2-4 2-2 4 0 0 0 1 8 6 -13.1
A.J. Lopez 22 0-4 0-0 6-6 1 1 1 0 0 6 5 -7.2
L. Carey 16 1-4 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 3 -2 +2.9
K. Gribben 16 1-5 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 -2 -23.1
K. Steele 12 5-6 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 11 6 +4.6
R. Tutic 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.0
N. Perovic 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -1.7
I. Bonilla 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3.3

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Knueppel 31 8-14 3-8 3-3 4 2 1 0 1 22 14 +23.8
C. Flagg 30 6-15 0-4 6-6 7 5 3 0 2 18 16 +16.3
T. Proctor 26 3-6 3-5 1-1 5 0 0 0 1 10 8 +19.1
M. Brown 22 1-2 0-1 0-0 7 4 1 0 2 2 10 +11.8
C. Foster 22 5-9 1-3 0-2 2 3 0 0 2 11 5 +13.8
S. James 21 4-6 1-2 2-2 3 1 2 0 2 11 9 -1.9
M. Gillis 20 4-6 2-4 0-0 3 0 3 0 1 10 9 +15.2
K. Maluach 18 3-3 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 3 1 6 12 +5.9
I. Evans 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 +5.4
D. Harris 3 1-1 1-1 3-5 0 0 0 0 0 6 5 -

* = starter