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2025-01-02

Model Predictions

Model San Francisco Dons Pacific Tigers Spread Result
Elo 90.0% 10.0% -
Bradley-Terry 92.5% 7.5% -
Margin 93.1% 6.9% -14.3 (6.3 off)
Pythagorean 76.6% 23.4% -
Efficiency 80.2% 19.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Log Adjusted 94.4% 5.6% -
Points Off/Def 78.3% 21.7% -

Actual: Pacific Tigers -8 (81-89). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Francisco Dons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Williams 37 5-13 4-8 8-8 2 7 3 0 1 22 20 +7.2
T. Riley IV 36 4-6 1-3 4-5 5 4 0 1 1 13 16 -0.3
M. Thomas 36 8-14 2-6 6-7 4 0 2 0 3 24 13 +7.9
C. Linguard Jr. 25 5-8 2-5 1-1 6 2 0 1 0 13 14 +4.7
Ro. Beasley 21 2-3 2-3 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 6 3 +0.1
J. Wang 13 2-3 2-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 6 2 +8.5
V. Abosi 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 4 -3.2
J. O'Donnell 11 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 2 -2.6
J. Rivera-Torres 5 0-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -3 +0.2
S. Gigiberia 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Fisher 38 9-15 1-2 6-7 4 2 2 1 3 25 16 -3.6
E. Ralph 35 4-9 0-3 5-6 5 0 0 0 2 13 7 -5.4
L. Washington 34 4-9 3-6 7-8 4 0 0 1 3 18 11 -2.8
J. Koulibaly 33 6-12 1-2 1-3 4 1 1 0 1 14 7 -3.6
J. Gardner 23 4-5 0-0 1-1 7 2 1 0 0 9 14 +2.5
P. Krivokapic 19 0-0 0-0 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -4.2
B. Smith 14 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -0.8
C. Benton 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Campbell 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter