Model Predictions
| Model | Seattle U Redhawks | California Baptist Lancers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 44.1% | 55.9% | +1.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 49.7% | 50.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 53.1% | 46.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 53.4% | 46.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.2% | 54.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Baptist Lancers +2 (61-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Seattle U Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Arington | 36 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-5 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 10 | -3.8 |
| P. Dawson | 35 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 10 | +3.1 |
| M. Moncrieffe | 35 | 7-15 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 13 | - |
| J. Christofilis | 29 | 1-9 | 0-5 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | +2.6 |
| K. Williamson | 20 | 5-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | -7.9 |
| W. Heimbrodt | 14 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | -3.1 |
| H. Dan | 12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -1.0 |
| B. Maldonado | 11 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -5.0 |
| M. Gomma | 8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | +2.0 |
California Baptist Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Daniels Jr. | 38 | 6-14 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 7 | +2.5 |
| S. Silverstein | 36 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | +2.5 |
| A. Moussa | 34 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 10 | +12.4 |
| AJ Braun | 24 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 16 | 20 | +10.5 |
| J. Johnson | 21 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | +2.4 |
| K. Coleman | 19 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 4 | -0.9 |
| B. Stevenson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
| J. Griman | 8 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -7.9 |
| T. Riley | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.0 |
| M. Williams | 4 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -3.0 |
* = starter