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2025-01-08

Model Predictions

Model Furman Paladins The Citadel Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 95.3% 4.7% -
Bradley-Terry 94.9% 5.1% -
Margin 94.6% 5.4% -15.8 (11.8 off)
Pythagorean 84.1% 15.9% -
Efficiency 84.1% 15.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 94.7% 5.3% -
Log Adjusted 94.8% 5.2% -
Points Off/Def 78.9% 21.1% -

Actual: The Citadel Bulldogs -4 (63-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Furman Paladins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
N. Anderson 41 7-19 3-11 6-7 0 3 3 0 1 23 9 +2.4
P. Smith Jr. 35 4-11 3-7 2-3 4 3 4 0 7 13 6 -
C. Bowser 34 6-9 0-0 1-4 14 1 0 0 2 13 17 +7.0
G. Hien 32 1-5 1-3 0-0 6 3 1 1 3 3 6 -1.7
B. VanderWal 29 1-3 0-0 6-6 9 0 0 0 1 8 13 +8.8
T. House 17 0-3 0-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 0 1 -9.4
E. Bronson 15 0-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 -2 -0.4
C. Johnston 11 1-4 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 1 0 3 3 -7.5
D. Molnar 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -1.4
T. Hughey 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 0 -3.1

The Citadel Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Fox 41 5-12 0-0 4-12 7 1 2 0 2 14 10 -0.4
S. Adebisi 40 6-8 1-1 2-3 9 0 0 3 3 15 16 +5.8
C. Glover 31 6-14 3-6 5-6 2 3 0 0 3 20 8 -0.7
P. Davidson 24 0-3 0-1 1-3 3 4 1 0 5 1 1 -7.0
D. Kearse 21 1-3 0-2 0-2 3 1 2 0 1 2 4 -3.9
C. Moore 20 1-5 1-4 2-2 3 0 4 0 1 5 6 -
C. McAllister 19 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 1 +6.9
J. Adams 18 1-3 0-0 1-2 4 1 0 1 1 3 5 +7.8
B. Smith 8 0-1 0-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -7.3
D. Commisso 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 +1.0

* = starter