Model Predictions
| Model | Akron Zips | Bowling Green Falcons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.7% | 20.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 84.6% | 15.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.6% | 14.4% | -9.8 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 87.6% | 12.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 87.7% | 12.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.9% | 30.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bowling Green Falcons -3 (68-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Johnson | 27 | 3-10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -3.2 |
| I. Gray | 27 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 3 | -4.5 |
| S. Scott | 26 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 2 | +12.8 |
| B. Hardman | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | +12.2 |
| T. Johnson | 22 | 4-12 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | +2.0 |
| A. Lyles | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7 | -6.1 |
| J. Okonkwo | 20 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | +1.9 |
| S. Young | 18 | 6-10 | 3-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 12 | +2.9 |
| S. Wilson | 15 | 1-5 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | -2.9 |
| M. Musiime-Kamali | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Bowling Green Falcons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Butler | 40 | 5-14 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 15 | 7 | -2.6 |
| J. Campbell | 38 | 2-12 | 0-1 | 7-9 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | -2.8 |
| T. Thomas | 37 | 7-11 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 13 | +2.8 |
| M. Johnson | 25 | 6-15 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 2 | +11.3 |
| W. Exacte | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2.9 |
| J. Felt | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 13 | -1.8 |
| B. Green | 17 | 1-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | -10.9 |
| P. Squire | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -6.0 |
* = starter