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2024-12-14

Model Predictions

Model Stony Brook Seawolves Rider Broncs Spread Result
Elo 22.9% 77.1% -
Bradley-Terry 22.4% 77.6% -
Margin 29.5% 70.5% +4.8 (21.8 off)
Pythagorean 33.2% 66.8% -
Efficiency 33.2% 66.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 36.7% 63.3% -
Log Adjusted 36.8% 63.2% -
Points Off/Def 38.9% 61.1% -

Actual: Rider Broncs -17 (55-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A. Snoddy 33 4-6 2-3 0-0 12 2 1 0 2 10 17 +15.9
B. Wight 31 5-7 0-0 2-2 5 2 1 0 4 12 9 +17.8
J. Octave 28 5-12 1-4 3-4 3 2 1 0 1 14 7 +16.7
J. Frey 27 2-5 2-4 0-0 3 2 1 0 0 6 7 +10.8
C. O'Connor 26 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 1 2 2 1 +9.8
CJ Luster II 25 7-11 6-9 0-0 0 1 2 0 2 20 10 +2.8
N. Woodard 14 1-5 1-3 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 1 +13.8
L. Nahar 9 2-3 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 3 -1.0
S. Philip 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.0

Rider Broncs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Alvarez 35 5-11 1-4 2-2 3 0 2 0 1 13 6 -16.3
F. Burton 32 4-9 0-2 5-7 2 4 2 0 1 13 11 -13.7
T. Ingraham 30 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 1 1 5 7 4 -15.7
Z. Cruz 27 2-8 0-0 1-2 5 1 0 0 1 5 2 -9.8
I. West-Ingram 22 2-5 0-0 0-2 2 0 0 1 0 4 2 -2.9
Z. Littleton Jr. 15 1-6 1-3 0-0 1 0 2 0 0 3 0 +1.0
T. Byard 15 3-4 0-0 1-2 3 1 0 1 0 7 8 -4.9
R. Rodriguez 11 0-3 0-2 1-2 0 2 0 0 2 1 -2 -7.8
T. Weeks 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 3 -8.0
C. McCabe 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.0
A. Boutayeb 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter