Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Niagara Purple Eagles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 50.7% | 49.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 53.7% | 46.3% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.4% | 39.6% | -2.3 | ✗ (3.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 56.6% | 43.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.3% | 30.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.5% | 30.5% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 54.8% | 45.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Niagara Purple Eagles +1 (69-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Freeman | 38 | 6-12 | 3-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 13 | +0.8 |
| J. Shoats | 37 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 6 | -1.2 |
| B. Coyle | 34 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -7.2 |
| M. Wilmoth | 31 | 6-9 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 19 | +3.0 |
| M. Jackson | 24 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | -2.2 |
| R. Ducharme | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1.0 |
| P. Carey | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.0 |
| T. Jones | 6 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | +3.0 |
| G. Doty | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.0 |
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Adelodun | 33 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 9 | +1.2 |
| J. Smith | 33 | 5-8 | 4-5 | 3-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| J. Williamson | 29 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +8.2 |
| J. Martinez | 29 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 11 | +1.2 |
| J. Page | 25 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | -9.9 |
| J. Marshall | 23 | 3-5 | 1-1 | 6-7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +13.1 |
| Z. Russell | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -2 | -5.9 |
| W. Shortt | 8 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -1.0 |
| D. McKnight | 5 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
* = starter