Model Predictions
| Model | Rider Broncs | San Diego Toreros | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.7% | 33.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 32.0% | 68.0% | +4.1 | ✗ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.6% | 39.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 32.4% | 67.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.9% | 68.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.1% | 61.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: San Diego Toreros -1 (67-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rider Broncs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T.J. Weeks Jr. * | 37 | 6-12 | 3-9 | 4-6 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 16 | - |
| J. Alvarez * | 33 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 7 | +6.0 |
| T. Ingraham * | 31 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | +2.7 |
| R. Rodriguez * | 22 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | +1.5 |
| T. Byard * | 17 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | -0.6 |
| F. Burton | 15 | 1-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.7 |
| I. West-Ingram | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -6.9 |
| A. Young | 13 | 2-3 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 2 | +6.3 |
| A. Boutayeb | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -1.9 |
| T. Weeks | 5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| C. McCabe | 5 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
San Diego Toreros
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Clouet * | 37 | 4-14 | 3-7 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 7 | -1.9 |
| D. Simon * | 36 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 12 | 6 | -1.9 |
| D. Lungu * | 20 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | +1.6 |
| S. Jamerson II * | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | +4.6 |
| K. Kensie Jr. * | 15 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | -9.1 |
| K. Bradley Jr. | 32 | 11-19 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 24 | 10 | +5.3 |
| S. Trouet | 20 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 16 | -5.3 |
| J. Chammaa | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -0.5 |
| D. Dahlke | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -0.0 |
| K. Webb | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2.3 |
| D. Muncey | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter