Model Predictions
| Model | Dayton Flyers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ELO | 9.2% | 90.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 4.9% | 95.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.1% | 99.9% | +36.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
| KenPom Style | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.1% | 67.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 42.3% | 57.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +35 (84-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Stephens | 34 | 1-9 | -4 | - | 2 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| I. Wolf | 33 | 5-13 | 4-8 | - | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 7 | |
| R. Harris | 25 | 2-5 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 7 | |
| A. Smith | 22 | 1-4 | - | - | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
| A. Madol | 19 | 4-9 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 4 | |
| O. Leung | 17 | -5 | -2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | |
| N. Lear | 14 | 4-5 | - | - | 1 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 0 | ||
| S. Dawkins | 14 | 1-4 | - | - | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |||
| M. O'Riordan | 10 | -1 | -1 | - | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | |||
| S. Wheeler | 4 | -1 | - | - | 2 | 1 | 0 | ||||
| E. Fiala | 3 | - | - | - | 1 | -1 | |||||
| J. Johnson | 3 | - | - | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | |||||
| K. Grant | 1 | - | - | - | 0 | ||||||
| D. Lightbourne | 1 | - | - | - | 0 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Richardson | 24 | 4-10 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 2 | ||
| T. Mair | 22 | -1 | -1 | - | 5 | 4 | 2 | 6 | |||
| D. Thomas | 21 | 1-6 | - | -2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | ||
| O. Okananwa | 21 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 9 | |
| V. de Jesus | 20 | 4-6 | -2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 9 | |
| J. Wood | 20 | 8-11 | 1-2 | -2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 13 |
| J. Donovan | 19 | 1-6 | - | - | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 5 | |
| A. Jackson | 19 | 4-6 | 2-2 | - | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | |||
| T. Fournier | 19 | 6-9 | - | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 15 | ||
| E. Koabel | 12 | 1-3 | 1-3 | - | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 |
| L. Battiston | 3 | 1-1 | - | -2 | 1 | 2 | 2 |
* = starter