Model Predictions
| Model | American University Eagles | Virginia Cavaliers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.3% | 92.7% | +14.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.0% | 50.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 5.4% | 94.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Cavaliers +5 (63-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
American University Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G. Jones | 32 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | -7.5 |
| M. Rogers | 32 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 4 | -3.2 |
| C. Smalls | 31 | 4-13 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 4 | -5.4 |
| M. Mayock | 30 | 6-8 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 14 | +3.3 |
| G. Sprouse | 26 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | -2.6 |
| L. Ball | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | +4.6 |
| W. Nausadis | 12 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -13.9 |
| J. Iturbe | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | +3.8 |
| A. Samuels | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -1.0 |
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. McKneely | 37 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 6 | +4.5 |
| E. Saunders | 36 | 7-9 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 20 | +5.4 |
| A. Rohde | 28 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | +4.7 |
| T. Murray | 25 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 9 | -0.1 |
| J. Cofie | 25 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | +9.1 |
| D. Ames | 22 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 3 | -2.9 |
| B. Buchanan | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | +4.2 |
| I. Sharma | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
| TJ Power | 4 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1.0 |
* = starter