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2024-12-04

Model Predictions

Model Virginia Cavaliers Florida Gators Spread Result
Elo 3.9% 96.1% -
Bradley-Terry 4.7% 95.3% -
Margin 1.2% 98.8% +24.1 (6.1 off)
Pythagorean 28.3% 71.7% -
Efficiency 29.1% 70.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -
Points Off/Def 10.0% 90.0% -

Actual: Florida Gators +18 (87-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Virginia Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
I. McKneely * 36 4-10 4-8 0-1 7 5 0 0 3 12 11 -7.5
E. Saunders * 33 6-12 3-5 4-4 5 1 1 0 1 19 13 +4.0
D. Ames * 27 3-9 1-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 7 -1 +3.3
A. Rohde * 26 1-4 0-1 2-2 1 3 0 0 3 4 1 -6.7
B. Buchanan * 22 4-6 0-1 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 8 9 -13.9
T. Murray 25 4-5 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 5 +3.0
J. Cofie 18 3-9 0-3 2-2 6 2 1 0 1 8 7 -0.9
I. Sharma 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -5.7
TJ Power 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -11.1
A. Robinson 3 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 0 3 3 +0.7

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Clayton Jr. * 34 10-19 5-12 2-2 3 4 2 0 1 27 16 +5.9
A. Martin * 34 6-14 1-6 3-4 5 1 1 0 1 16 8 +10.2
W. Richard * 31 1-5 1-3 2-2 1 1 2 0 3 5 1 +14.4
A. Condon * 25 7-8 1-1 4-6 8 2 2 1 0 19 24 -1.5
R. Chinyelu * 18 0-4 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 0 0 1 +8.6
T. Haugh 23 2-3 0-1 2-2 2 3 1 1 0 6 10 -1.1
D. Aberdeen 21 4-5 2-2 2-3 1 1 1 0 0 12 10 +8.3
S. Alexis 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 1 2 7 +5.9

* = starter