Model Predictions
| Model | Longwood Lancers | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.5% | 83.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.2% | 96.8% | +18.7 | ✓ (2.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.5% | 63.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 13.7% | 86.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +16 (98-82). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Longwood Lancers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Garland | 35 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | -9.6 |
| M. Christmas | 30 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | -8.5 |
| K. Luc | 29 | 2-9 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 6 | -15.0 |
| E. Richards | 24 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 11 | -14.0 |
| E. Tucker | 24 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 10 | -0.9 |
| J. Nziemi | 16 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +3.2 |
| KJ McClurg | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | +3.0 |
| DJ Jefferson | 12 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | -0.7 |
| A. Brizzi | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +0.6 |
| J. Benard | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -8.3 |
| L. Nordberg | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2.0 |
| T. Hicks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Miller | 31 | 6-7 | 2-2 | 10-12 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 27 | +9.6 |
| M. Cross | 31 | 6-10 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | +12.7 |
| Y. Traore | 28 | 7-10 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 20 | +13.1 |
| B.J. Edwards | 28 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 7 | +21.6 |
| C. Harris | 22 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 3 | +10.8 |
| S. Yigitoglu | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 10 | -3.7 |
| K. Oquendo | 18 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 3 | +6.3 |
| J. Colbert | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | -2.5 |
| K. Ambrose-Hylton | 8 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -7.2 |
| T. Gorener | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.2 |
| A. George | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -3.1 |
* = starter