Model Predictions
| Model | VCU Rams | New Mexico Lobos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 57.7% | 42.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 35.0% | 65.0% | +3.4 | ✓ (3.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 50.2% | 49.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: New Mexico Lobos +7 (78-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.
VCU Rams
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Shulga | 35 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 5-7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 9 | -9.7 |
| J. Bamisile | 25 | 4-11 | 2-7 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 9 | -27.8 |
| Z. Jackson | 25 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 5 | -3.7 |
| P. Russell | 22 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 10 | -13.6 |
| C. Fermin | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | - |
| J. Clark | 16 | 0-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -15.7 |
| M. Belle | 15 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 9 | +9.6 |
| A. Billups III | 14 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -15.0 |
| L. Bamgboye | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | +4.8 |
| B. Jennings | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | +4.7 |
| T. Hill Jr. | 5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | +8.0 |
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dent | 39 | 14-26 | 2-4 | 10-11 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 40 | 21 | +13.5 |
| M. Amzil | 34 | 5-12 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 12 | +17.6 |
| F. Borovicanin | 33 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | +13.5 |
| N. Junior Joseph | 31 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 5-8 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 15 | +19.0 |
| B. Appelhans | 17 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | +2.8 |
| C.J. Noland | 16 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +11.1 |
| K. Dotson | 15 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | +0.9 |
| A. Ally Atiki | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.6 |
| J. Milicevic | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -3.7 |
* = starter