Model Predictions
| Model | Little Rock Trojans | Tennessee State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.5% | 76.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.6% | 42.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 42.6% | 57.4% | +1.6 | ✓ (7.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.4% | 52.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 50.3% | 49.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.5% | 54.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +9 (95-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Little Rock Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Lawson | 38 | 5-17 | 3-10 | 3-6 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 7 | -9.2 |
| A. Beljan | 35 | 11-19 | 0-0 | 11-12 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 33 | 25 | +0.2 |
| M. Wilkinson | 32 | 4-11 | 3-6 | 1-2 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 11 | -7.9 |
| T. Jackson | 28 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | -7.6 |
| I. Lewis | 23 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 8 | -18.6 |
| K. Popov | 21 | 3-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -0.9 |
| C. Pennyfeather | 14 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -4.2 |
| C. Hughes | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
Tennessee State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Harper II | 30 | 5-15 | 4-10 | 6-7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 11 | +9.9 |
| R. Jessamy | 29 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 22 | +12.9 |
| Ca. Williams | 29 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 7 | +18.8 |
| B. Weston | 29 | 4-10 | 1-2 | 6-7 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 18 | +4.4 |
| K. Wood | 27 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 12 | +7.8 |
| A. Nkrumah | 21 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | +1.4 |
| J. Jackson | 18 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 3 | -2.6 |
| A. Lorick III | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | -3.0 |
| J. Ogundele | 6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | +0.2 |
* = starter