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2025-01-04

Model Predictions

Model Little Rock Trojans Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 23.5% 76.5% -
Bradley-Terry 57.6% 42.4% -
Margin 42.6% 57.4% +1.6 (7.4 off)
Pythagorean 47.4% 52.6% -
Efficiency 47.4% 52.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.3% 49.7% -
Log Adjusted 49.9% 50.1% -
Points Off/Def 45.5% 54.5% -

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers +9 (95-86). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Little Rock Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lawson 38 5-17 3-10 3-6 4 6 2 0 4 16 7 -9.2
A. Beljan 35 11-19 0-0 11-12 11 1 1 0 2 33 25 +0.2
M. Wilkinson 32 4-11 3-6 1-2 8 0 1 2 1 12 11 -7.9
T. Jackson 28 2-6 0-1 2-6 3 1 0 0 3 6 1 -7.6
I. Lewis 23 2-6 0-2 2-2 4 4 3 0 3 6 8 -18.6
K. Popov 21 3-4 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 1 0 6 7 -0.9
C. Pennyfeather 14 2-4 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 5 2 -4.2
C. Hughes 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 2 2 -

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Harper II 30 5-15 4-10 6-7 3 2 2 0 1 20 11 +9.9
R. Jessamy 29 7-9 0-0 2-5 12 1 1 3 2 16 22 +12.9
Ca. Williams 29 3-6 0-1 3-4 3 1 2 1 3 9 7 +18.8
B. Weston 29 4-10 1-2 6-7 10 3 1 1 2 15 18 +4.4
K. Wood 27 3-6 3-5 1-2 2 6 2 0 2 10 12 +7.8
A. Nkrumah 21 1-5 0-1 5-6 4 3 1 0 0 7 10 +1.4
J. Jackson 18 2-6 0-3 4-4 0 2 0 0 1 8 3 -2.6
A. Lorick III 11 1-2 0-0 1-2 3 0 0 1 3 3 2 -3.0
J. Ogundele 6 3-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 7 4 +0.2

* = starter