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2025-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Southeast Missouri State Redhawks Tennessee State Tigers Spread Result
Elo 51.4% 48.6% -
Bradley-Terry 55.3% 44.7% -
Margin 50.9% 49.1% -0.2 (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% -
Efficiency 51.0% 49.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 60.2% 39.8% -
Log Adjusted 60.3% 39.7% -
Points Off/Def 50.0% 50.0% -

Actual: Tennessee State Tigers -2 (65-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Washington Jr. 37 3-12 2-9 3-4 2 1 7 1 4 11 6 -
BJ Ward 35 1-9 0-3 5-6 5 2 0 0 0 7 5 +2.2
R. Martin 30 3-7 1-3 2-2 2 2 3 0 3 9 6 +1.0
B. Terry 25 3-5 0-0 3-4 3 5 3 0 0 9 15 +1.0
B. Stacker 21 2-6 0-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 8 3 -6.8
T. Cole Jr. 17 3-4 2-2 1-2 4 1 0 0 2 9 8 -
E. Lowndes 11 4-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 0 8 9 +9.8
D. Idada 11 1-2 0-0 0-4 5 0 0 0 2 2 3 -11.4
M. Bell 6 2-4 0-0 0-1 2 0 1 0 0 4 3 -3.1
TJ Biel 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 0 1 +5.8
D. Walkup 2 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 +4.9

Tennessee State Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Weston 37 2-6 0-1 6-10 5 1 1 0 2 10 9 -1.6
K. Wood 28 2-3 2-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 1 8 6 +11.9
Ca. Williams 24 4-7 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 1 0 8 10 +6.0
A. Nkrumah 21 3-8 1-2 0-2 7 3 1 2 6 7 6 -4.3
J. Ogundele 21 7-10 0-0 3-7 5 0 0 0 4 17 8 -3.6
J. Jackson 21 3-8 0-3 0-0 6 2 2 0 3 6 5 -2.3
T. Harper II 18 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 0 2 -9.7
A. Lorick III 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 2 2 -2 +4.3
R. Jessamy 12 3-5 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 7 3 -5.8

* = starter