Model Predictions
| Model | Idaho State Bengals | Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.9% | 25.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.1% | 55.9% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 60.2% | 39.8% | -2.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Efficiency | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Northern Arizona Lumberjacks -8 (60-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Idaho State Bengals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Arington * | 40 | 7-14 | 0-1 | 3-7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +6.4 |
| M. Tomley * | 36 | 6-16 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 8 | +4.5 |
| I. Griffin * | 35 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | +3.8 |
| B. Parker * | 34 | 8-15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 11 | +7.3 |
| K. Huie * | 26 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 12 | +4.4 |
| AJ Burgin | 18 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +4.0 |
| T. Johnson | 10 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +0.2 |
| B. Ranstrom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2.0 |
Northern Arizona Lumberjacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Jackson * | 38 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | -4.4 |
| T. McLaughlin * | 37 | 4-14 | 3-9 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | -4.3 |
| C. Basham * | 36 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 17 | -8.2 |
| O. Fort * | 36 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | -4.7 |
| L. Lloyd * | 24 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | -13.8 |
| D. Campisano | 24 | 4-7 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 5 | +4.5 |
| A. Madi | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +2.2 |
| R. Reynolds | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +0.1 |
* = starter