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2024-03-17

Model Predictions

Model Brown Bears Yale Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 18.7% 81.3% -
Bradley-Terry 16.2% 83.8% -
Margin 7.3% 92.7% +14.0 (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 35.0% 65.0% -
Efficiency 17.5% 82.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 10.7% 89.3% -
Log Adjusted 10.6% 89.4% -

Actual: Yale Bulldogs +1 (62-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Brown Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lilly Jr. * 39 7-15 3-9 4-4 2 3 0 0 2 21 9 +7.3
K. Anya * 31 5-7 0-0 2-6 7 0 1 0 3 12 10 -1.0
N. Owusu-Anane * 28 1-9 0-2 1-2 3 1 2 0 0 3 0 -8.2
AJ Lesburt Jr. * 27 3-9 2-7 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 8 3 -2.2
L. Erold * 18 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 4 -3.0
K. Ferrari 28 0-5 0-4 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 0 0 +7.9
M. Ndur 20 5-6 1-2 1-3 6 4 0 2 0 12 18 +7.0
A. Cooley 9 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -6.0

Yale Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mbeng * 40 2-7 0-2 1-3 5 6 0 0 2 5 7 +0.5
J. Poulakidas * 35 7-16 4-9 0-0 2 2 0 1 1 18 6 +2.0
A. Mahoney * 35 5-10 3-4 2-2 5 2 2 0 2 15 12 +5.8
Player #5107173 * 34 4-11 0-4 1-3 13 1 2 4 1 9 17 -
M. Knowling * 29 5-12 0-1 1-2 5 5 0 2 0 11 11 +2.9
N. Townsend 17 2-6 0-1 0-0 5 2 1 0 0 4 6 -9.1
Y. Gharram 10 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -6.0

* = starter