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2024-03-13

Model Predictions

Model UCF Knights BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 26.4% 73.6% -
Bradley-Terry 33.4% 66.6% -
Margin 11.2% 88.8% +11.4 (2.6 off)
Pythagorean 34.1% 65.9% -
Efficiency 13.2% 86.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.8% 74.2% -
Log Adjusted 25.6% 74.4% -

Actual: BYU Cougars +14 (87-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Johnson * 38 12-22 6-8 2-2 3 3 4 0 1 32 19 -9.7
J. Sellers * 33 4-14 1-6 3-6 5 0 0 1 1 12 3 -17.8
S. Allen * 32 1-4 0-1 3-6 9 3 1 0 1 5 13 -17.8
C.J. Walker * 28 4-6 1-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 4 -21.9
I. Diallo * 15 0-3 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 1 1 0 -1 -1.2
A. Jones 25 5-11 1-3 2-2 6 1 1 0 1 13 9 +7.3
T. Sylla 18 0-6 0-3 2-2 6 0 1 1 1 2 3 -6.4
M. Avery 8 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 +2.8
O. Payne 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -10.1

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
S. Johnson * 36 2-7 1-5 4-4 8 7 1 0 4 9 14 +14.3
N. Waterman * 29 4-6 1-3 0-0 5 1 0 1 0 9 10 +14.9
D. Hall * 27 4-10 3-7 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 13 8 +21.6
T. Knell * 22 3-5 2-2 4-5 5 0 0 0 0 12 12 +10.5
A. Khalifa * 18 2-6 2-4 2-2 0 5 0 0 0 8 7 +26.1
J. Robinson 25 2-8 2-5 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 8 0 -4.5
R. Saunders 21 4-6 3-4 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 13 11 +6.3
F. Traore 20 4-5 0-0 6-8 10 1 1 3 2 14 22 -11.7
T. Stewart 2 0-0 0-0 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 -4.0

* = starter