Model Predictions
| Model | Virginia Cavaliers | Florida State Seminoles | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 84.9% | 15.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.5% | 54.5% | +1.0 | ✗ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.1% | 35.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Florida State Seminoles -4 (76-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Virginia Cavaliers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4432187 * | 36 | 7-16 | 0-3 | 7-11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | - |
| I. McKneely * | 34 | 8-12 | 5-7 | 8-9 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 29 | 22 | - |
| A. Rohde * | 32 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 8 | - |
| Player #4888725 * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | - |
| Player #4594263 * | 12 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Buchanan | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Groves | 22 | 4-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 7 | - |
| D. Harris | 11 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| T. Murray | 9 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Player #4606840 * | 29 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 11-12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| B. Miller * | 26 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| J. Warley * | 26 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Da. Green Jr. * | 24 | 2-9 | 0-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| D. Green * | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| C. Jackson | 21 | 7-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | - |
| C. Corhen | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 6 | - |
| P. Spears | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Nickelberry | 10 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| T.B. Bowen | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Player #4397913 | 7 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| T. House | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter