Model Predictions
| Model | New Mexico Lobos | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.4% | 75.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.0% | 72.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 33.1% | 66.9% | +3.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 53.3% | 46.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.0% | 39.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 65.2% | 34.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 65.4% | 34.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +2 (87-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
New Mexico Lobos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Dent * | 33 | 8-16 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 7 | -9.1 |
| J. House * | 32 | 4-11 | 1-3 | 6-7 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 15 | 17 | +0.5 |
| N. Junior Joseph * | 28 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 13 | +5.6 |
| J. Baker * | 27 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | +8.2 |
| JT Toppin * | 20 | 7-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 7 | -11.7 |
| M. Amzil | 32 | 6-8 | 3-5 | 3-4 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | +6.1 |
| T. Washington | 21 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | +0.4 |
| Q. Webb | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | -0.2 |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Martinez * | 40 | 7-11 | 3-6 | 5-6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 14 | -0.1 |
| G. Osobor * | 39 | 8-17 | 0-1 | 5-9 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 21 | 22 | +2.4 |
| D. Brown II * | 39 | 5-9 | 2-6 | 7-9 | 6 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 25 | +1.2 |
| M. Falslev * | 21 | 5-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 10 | +8.7 |
| I. Johnson * | 8 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | +4.5 |
| J. Uduje | 26 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | -13.2 |
| K. Sakho | 17 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.5 |
| J. Jackson | 10 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -4.8 |
* = starter