Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois Fighting Illini | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 49.6% | 50.4% | +0.1 | ✓ (7.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 61.7% | 38.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.2% | 41.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Shannon Jr. * | 39 | 7-19 | 2-9 | 12-13 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 28 | 17 | - |
| M. Domask * | 37 | 4-8 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
| C. Hawkins * | 33 | 5-12 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | - |
| Ty Rodgers * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 3 | - |
| Q. Guerrier * | 14 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| J. Harmon | 25 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| L. Goode | 23 | 2-5 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| D. Dainja | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Gibbs-Lawhorn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Hall * | 36 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 7-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 17 | - |
| A. Hoggard * | 35 | 5-13 | 1-2 | 12-13 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 19 | - |
| T. Walker * | 34 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 4-7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 11 | - |
| J. Akins * | 32 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 13 | - |
| M. Sissoko * | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Cooper | 22 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Kohler | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Carr | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| T. Holloman | 9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter