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2024-01-18

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 48.4% 51.6% -
Bradley-Terry 66.1% 33.9% -
Margin 61.5% 38.5% -2.6 (12.4 off)
Pythagorean 77.8% 22.2% -
Efficiency 93.8% 6.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.4% 6.6% -
Log Adjusted 93.5% 6.5% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -15 (73-88). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Domask * 37 5-14 0-4 5-7 3 3 1 1 4 15 5 -
Q. Guerrier * 37 6-12 1-4 3-6 14 0 0 0 1 16 17 -
C. Hawkins * 36 6-10 3-5 6-6 10 4 6 1 0 21 32 -
Ty Rodgers * 33 6-13 0-0 3-6 5 3 0 2 0 15 12 -
L. Goode * 29 3-5 2-4 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 8 7 -
J. Harmon 19 3-5 0-1 5-5 2 1 2 0 1 11 10 -
N. Moretti 6 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -
D. Dainja 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Nkamhoua * 37 6-13 2-4 2-2 4 2 0 0 2 16 7 -
D. McDaniel * 35 7-18 0-4 0-1 2 6 1 0 1 14 4 -
T. Williams II * 32 3-10 0-4 2-2 3 0 0 0 1 8 0 -
T. Reed Jr. * 30 8-10 0-0 4-4 5 1 0 0 0 20 16 -
N. Burnett * 18 1-5 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 3 4 1 -
J. Llewellyn 14 3-3 1-1 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 7 4 -
W. Tschetter 13 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
Y. Khayat 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 3 -
Ja. Howard 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter